Abstract
During the last several decades, water security is threatened by climate changes and demographic changes. In the meantime, the effort to redistribute the immigrant population in the newly founded cities around the metropolises has been one of the urbanization policies in the past few decades. Tehran is also one of the immigrant-friendly cities, which in the form of building new cities has been an attempt to overflow the population of the surrounding newly founded cities. Meanwhile, the shortage of Tehran's water resources threatens the water security of new cities, including the new city of Pardis. The purpose of this article, which is of a practical nature, is to explain the possible future scenarios of water security in the new city of Pardis. The methodology governing the research is descriptive-analytical. The data required for the research has been collected by library and field methods and analyzed using Micmac, Scenario Wizard and Vensim software. The results of the research showed that out of the 18 possible situations related to the five scenario models with strong compatibility, the situations that describe the water security in front of Navniad Pardis city as critical include the most possible situations with 38.88%. Therefore, the situation of water security in the new city of Pardis became critical and the solution of integrated management of water resources of Tehran and new cities was recognized as the most suitable solution.
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